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AGI is Coming

Jack Young by Jack Young
March 3, 2023
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ARSTechnica: On Monday, researchers from Microsoft introduced Kosmos-1, a multimodal mannequin that may reportedly analyze pictures for content material, remedy visible puzzles, carry out visible textual content recognition, go visible IQ checks, and perceive pure language directions. The researchers consider multimodal AI—which integrates completely different modes of enter akin to textual content, audio, pictures, and video—is a key step to constructing synthetic normal intelligence (AGI) that may carry out normal duties on the degree of a human.

In 2020 Metaculus forecasters have been predicting weak normal AI by round 2053. Now they’re predicting weak general AI by 2028 and powerful normal AI which incorporates:

  • Has normal robotic capabilities, of the sort capable of autonomously, when geared up with applicable actuators and when given human-readable directions, satisfactorily assemble a (or the equal of a) circa-2021 Ferrari 312 T4 1:8 scale automobile model. A single demonstration of this capability, or a sufficiently related demonstration, can be thought-about ample.

by 2040.

I by no means anticipated to witness the start of aliens. It’s a very unusual time to be alive. If you happen to assume the world isn’t altering in a really unsure and discontinuous means you simply aren’t paying consideration.

The put up AGI is Coming appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

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Jack Young

Jack Young

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